Game Result Predictions
Saturday, September 29
Saturday, September 29
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Spartan Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Central Michigan (1-11) | 20 | 0 | +21.0 | 5% | ✔ | 0 | +59.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Michigan State (7-6) | 31 | 21 | -21.0 | 95% | 60 | -59.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Memorial Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Purdue (6-7) | 42 | 32 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 39 | -12.5 | 85% | ✔ | |
| Nebraska (4-8) | 28 | 34 | -2.0 | 58% | 27 | +12.5 | 15% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Ryan Field | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Michigan (10-3) | 20 | 29 | -11.0 | 82% | ✔ | 25 | -3.5 | 63% | ✔ | |
| Northwestern (9-5) | 17 | 18 | +11.0 | 18% | 21 | +3.5 | 37% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Beaver Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Ohio State (13-1) | 27 | 33 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 46 | -23.5 | 96% | ✔ | |
| Penn State (9-4) | 26 | 35 | -2.0 | 58% | 22 | +23.5 | 4% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| HighPoint.com Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Indiana (5-7) | 24 | 29 | -12.0 | 84% | ✔ | 32 | -18.5 | 93% | ✔ | |
| Rutgers (1-11) | 17 | 17 | +12.0 | 16% | 14 | +18.5 | 7% | |||
Saturday, September 29 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 60%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 60%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Overall Results (872 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.